The New Frontier in Lodging: Supply and Demand Growth for Short-Term Rentals Outpaces Hotels

Research Report

In this report, we use aggregate data (2018 - 2023) to examine changing trends in supply, demand, and ADR for vacation rentals and hotels in the United States. AirDNA contributes data on short-term rentals (STRs), while STR/CoStar provides traditional hotel data. Using these comprehensive data sets, we also forecast industry trends in the second half of 2023 and into 2024.

Our analyses show that rental shares of supply and demand have accelerated. Small city/rural and suburban locations drove this growth, as they provided consumers with physical space during the pandemic. Larger homes also contributed to growth, with 3-bedroom rental properties accounting for a larger share of growth than 1-bedrooms. In the year ahead, the rental share will continue to grow, and hotels are expected to feel the impact.

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